|
Post by Newsman on Jan 16, 2024 16:43:08 GMT -5
..with Iowa in the rearview, we move along to New Hampshire...(The Guardian) Nikki Haley moves on to New Hampshire in bid to regain momentumNikki Haley has reportedly already made her way to New Hampshire, where she, Ron DeSantis and Donald Trump will all host events in different locations, BBC News reports. Even though she failed to capture second place in Iowa, Haley boldly declared that the primary was now “a two-person race” between her and Trump, given her momentum in the next voting state of New Hampshire. According to the FiveThirtyEight average of New Hampshire polls, Haley, the former South Carolina governor and UN ambassador, is now roughly 11 points behind Trump, having cut his lead in half over the past month.
|
|
|
Post by Webster on Jan 16, 2024 16:46:40 GMT -5
(The Guardian) Donald Trump will continue on to the New Hampshire primaries more confident than ever about capturing the Republican nomination after the former president secured a 30-point win in the Iowa caucuses on Monday. As he delivered his victory speech in Des Moines on Monday night, Trump complimented his opponents as “very smart people, very capable people,” and he appeared to already be turning his attention to a potential general election rematch against Joe Biden. Trump told the crowd: We’re going to come together. It’s going to happen soon.Trump’s history-making victory in Iowa intensified skepticism that any of his opponents will be able to overtake him in the Republican primary. Despite the 91 felony counts against him, Trump has maintained a consistent and significant lead in the 2024 US race, and the Iowa results underscored his enduring popularity with the Republican base. Even so, Ron DeSantis, the Florida governor, voiced optimism as he addressed supporters on Monday night, dismissing any possibility of withdrawing from the race. DeSantis said: Because of your support, in spite of all of that they threw at us, everyone against us, we’ve got our ticket punched out of Iowa.Nikki Haley, the former South Carolina governor and UN ambassador, also remained undaunted after Trump’s runaway victory. Even though she failed to capture second place, Haley boldly declared that the primary was now “a two-person race” between her and Trump, given her momentum in the next voting state of New Hampshire. According to the FiveThirtyEight average of New Hampshire polls, Haley is now roughly 11 points behind Trump, having cut his lead in half over the past month. “Tonight, I will be back in the great state of New Hampshire,” Haley told supporters in West Des Moines on Monday. -- And the question before Americans is now very clear: do you want more of the same, or do you want a new generation of conservative leadership?The results of the Iowa caucuses indicate Republicans may be quite happy with more of the same.
|
|
|
Post by Webster on Jan 19, 2024 18:45:38 GMT -5
(The Guardian) Nikki Haley has responded to Donald Trump’s attacks against her in which he said that she will be unable to win the White House. Speaking to Fox, Haley said: Everybody is talking about the fact, ‘Is she a conservative?’ … How am I not conservative? I was a Tea Party governor, I passed voter ID, I passed the toughest illegal immigration law in the country, I cut taxes, I passed tort reform … Just because the media says it, because Donald Trump says it, it’s wrong. We’ve got to start telling the truth. The problem with Donald Trump and Joe Biden is, they think if they tell Americans something, that it’s the truth. But the problem is, both of these guys are lying to the American people.
There are multiple instances that we need to start asking Donald Trump the questions and stop taking what he’s saying to be golden … I think it’s important that the media be responsible … But the fact that Donald Trump’s lying, it’s another reason why he won’t debate me because he knows I’ll call him out on it.”
|
|
|
Post by Webster on Jan 22, 2024 16:08:06 GMT -5
(The Guardian) Haley scrambles to overtake Trump ahead of Tuesday’s must-win New Hampshire primary voteWe are coming to you today from Manchester, New Hampshire, the state where former South Carolina governor Nikki Haley is making what may well be her last stand to seize the Republican presidential nomination from Donald Trump. The race winnowed down to two main candidates yesterday, when Florida governor Ron DeSantis dropped out after his disappointing second-place finish in last week’s Iowa caucus. Haley has staked it all on winning in New Hampshire, which will vote in primaries tomorrow, and today, she has five publicly announced campaign events on her schedule. Trump, meanwhile, has one speech planned for 9pm eastern time, and may reportedly spend today testifying to the New York City jury hearing the defamation lawsuit brought against him by author E Jean Carroll. Trump has functioned as a juggernaut in the race for the GOP nomination for more than a year, with polls showing him the frontrunner among Republicans both nationally and in most early voting states, New Hampshire included. While Haley has seen some momentum in polling recently, the gap between her and the former president remains significant. In a survey from the University of New Hampshire released by CNN yesterday, she’s running 11 percentage points behind Trump, who is polling at 50%. It’s quite the deficit to make up, and we expect to hear her give her closing arguments throughout the course of today.
|
|
|
Post by Webster on Jan 22, 2024 16:33:01 GMT -5
(The Guardian) With Ron DeSantis’s exit, former South Carolina governor Nikki Haley has the two-person race she wants in New Hampshire, the state she has bet her campaign on. But will it be enough to beat Donald Trump on Tuesday? The Guardian’s Lauren Gambino took a look at Haley’s pitch to voters, and if it’s working: Plodding across frigid New Hampshire ahead of Tuesday’s primary, Nikki Haley offered the state’s proudly freethinking voters a tantalizing proposal: choose her and save America from the presidential rematch seemingly nobody wants. “Seventy percent of Americans have said they don’t want to see a Donald Trump-Joe Biden rematch,” Haley exclaimed on Sunday, drawing head nods and murmurs of agreement from attendees packed into a middle school library in Derry. Haley leaned in: “Do we really want to have two presidential candidates in their 80s?”
Biden, the 81-year-old Democratic president, is coasting to his party’s nomination and Trump, the 77-year-old former president, is marching toward the Republican one as the field narrows and he consolidates support from across the party. But Haley, who celebrated her 52nd birthday hopscotching the state on Saturday, insisted there was a different – viable – path.
Haley, the former “Tea Party governor” of South Carolina who served as Trump’s first United Nations ambassador, has staked her presidential aspirations on a strong showing in the first-in-the-nation primary. “New Hampshire is do-or-die for Nikki Haley,” said Mike Dennehy, a veteran Republican strategist in New Hampshire who worked on John McCain’s winning presidential primary campaigns in the state in 2000 and 2008 and is unaffiliated. “She needs to go all in and speak specifically to independent voters who want change in this country.”
|
|
|
Post by Webster on Jan 22, 2024 16:33:51 GMT -5
(The Guardian) Judy Sheindlin – Judge Judy to you – is famous for weighing on things, and she recently reached her own verdict on this year’s presidential race: Nikki Haley is the best candidate for the job. She campaigned with the former South Carolina governor in New Hampshire yesterday, urging voters to, “bring her home on Tuesday”. Sheindlin’s political allegiances have shifted over the years, and in 2020, she endorsed former New York mayor Michael Bloomberg for the Democratic presidential nomination. We’ll find out soon enough if her verdict on Haley is enough to push her over the top in New Hampshire. If it is not, Sheindlin does not seem ready to campaign for Joe Biden – she went on CNN to say that she thinks he is too old:
|
|
|
Post by Webster on Jan 22, 2024 16:35:34 GMT -5
(The Guardian) Trump maintains big lead over Haley in New Hampshire, poll findsNew Hampshire voters may not give Nikki Haley what she wants on Tuesday, according to a Washington Post-Monmouth University poll released today that finds her trailing Donald Trump in the state by 18 percentage points. Trump is the clear frontrunner, with 52% support, compared to Haley’s 34%. Ron DeSantis polled at 8% in the survey completed before he withdrew from the presidential race. The Post notes that Haley’s support has doubled from November, largely due to her attracting voters that supported former New Jersey governor Chris Christie, who exited the race earlier this month. The survey offers a snapshot of the types of voters who are supporting Trump and Haley, with 71% of the former South Carolina governor’s supporters believing Joe Biden won the 2020 election fairly, and 48% registered with neither party. Forty-nine percent say abortion should be legal in all or most cases, and 56% described themselves as moderate or liberal. Among Trump voters, only 14% believe Biden won fairly, 38% were not registered with a party, 29% said they were moderate or liberal and 38% thought abortion should be legal in all or most cases.
|
|
|
Post by Webster on Jan 22, 2024 16:37:08 GMT -5
(The Guardian) New Hampshire governor campaigns for Haley ahead of must-win primaryNikki Haley is spending the final moments before New Hampshire’s make-or-break primary getting out the vote with the state’s popular Republican governor, Chris Sununu by her side. “This is it. Twenty-four hours to go,” Sununu told the crowd at a packed, dimly lit veteran’s hall in Franklin. “All the momentum is at Nikki Haley’s back.” He told the voters not to pay any mind to the polls – unless it’s the ones showing Haley trouncing Joe Biden in a general election – and reminded them of their fiercely guarded reputation as the state that delivers political upsets. “We always buck the trend in New Hampshire,” he said. “It’s going to start tomorrow.” Haley reminded voters of the stakes of tomorrow’s primary – not that they needed any reminding, since some say they’ve received upwards of 10 campaign mailers a day in recent weeks, in addition to the political ads flooding the airwaves. “Don’t complain about what happens in a general election if you don’t play in this primary tomorrow,” she charged. “It matters.”
|
|
|
Post by Webster on Jan 22, 2024 16:40:40 GMT -5
(The Guardian) New Hampshire’s secretary of state David Scanlan is predicting record turnout in the Republican primary, while governor Chris Sununu is joking that he is cashing in all of his political capital to ensure balmy weather for voters headed to the polls on Tuesday. That would be a stark contrast from Iowa, where arctic temperatures were blamed for the low turnout last week. Recent polling has shown Trump with a double digit lead in the state. But New Hampshire has a record of unpredictability, thanks to the large number of voters who proudly belong to neither party. They are not a monolith, but analysts believe that the more of them who choose to vote in the Republican primary, the better for Haley. “The only big X factor I see: how big is turnout?” said Dante Scala, a professor of Political Science and International Affairs at the University of New Hampshire. According to Scala, Haley is attempting something novel in New Hampshire. Republican presidential candidates who have pulled off wins in New Hampshire – such as John McCain in 2008 and Mitt Romney in 2012 – managed to appeal to the state’s independents while still pulling in a sizable chunk of the party faithful. (Independents, called “undeclared” voters in New Hampshire, can vote in either party’s primary.) This year, Trump has a lock on Republican base voters. To win, or even to come within striking distance of Trump, Scala said Haley will need to run up the score with these independent voters, some of whom could choose to vote in the sleepy Democratic primary or not at all if they feel the contest is a foregone conclusion. Scala said Haley’s test is whether she “inspired enough people to show up, who don’t normally show up, to get a turnout big enough that it swamps the Trump people and your mainstream Republican in New Hampshire.”
In a conversation on Friday, Fergus Cullen, a former New Hampshire GOP chairman and prominent Trump opponent, said he did not see evidence that Haley had “lit a spark” among these voters in the way that might foretell “some kind of surge coming her way.” “People turn out when they are inspired, or they’re pissed off,” said Cullen, who had seen Haley on the campaign trail four times. “What we’re seeing is that people are not inspired, and they’re apathetic. And that means that they don’t show up.”
|
|
|
Post by Newsman on Jan 23, 2024 16:17:12 GMT -5
(The Guardian) Nikki Haley chases an upset in bitter New Hampshire face-off with TrumpLauren Gambino is in Manchester, New Hampshire for the Guardian: Republicans are predicting record turnout – and good weather, seen as a possible boon to Nikki Haley who is relying more heavily on voters who don’t typically participate in the party’s primary.
The stakes could not be higher for Haley. She is barnstorming the state, from the “suburbs to the seacoast”, trying to persuade anti-Trump independents and open-minded conservatives to back her long-shot bid.
Donald Trump by contrast has been in and out of the state, holding raucous evening rallies between appearances in court. New Hampshire propelled Trump to the Republican nomination in 2016 after he came in second in the Iowa caucuses. This year, Trump hopes to notch a victory large enough to effectively extinguish Haley’s campaign.
For much of her nearly year-long campaign, Haley carefully avoided Trump, instead drawing implicit contrasts with calls for a “new generation” of leaders in Washington and a proposal to instate cognitive tests for older politicians. But in the final days before New Hampshire’s primary, she went after him more aggressively, questioning his mental fitness and accusing him of cozying up to dictators and autocrats.
Trump responded with insults and misrepresentations while accusing her campaign of relying on the support of “globalists” and liberals to win. In an ugly series of social media posts, he revived the birtherism conspiracy that she was ineligible to be president because her parents were not US citizens when she was born. This is false; Haley, the South Carolina-born daughter of immigrants from India, is eligible. Trump also appeared to mock her Indian ancestry by referring to – and mispelling – her given name, Nimarata. Haley has always gone by her middle name, Nikki.
Haley and her allies insist she has a path forward even if she doesn’t pull off an upset. Improving on her third-place finish in Iowa would be enough. But if she can’t win in New Hampshire, with an electorate seen as far more friendly to her brand of Republicanism, analysts said it will be hard to make the pitch to voters – and donors – that she can win anywhere else.
|
|
|
Post by Webster on Jan 23, 2024 16:18:32 GMT -5
Cory Pesaturo plays the national anthem on accordion to start voting after midnight on the day of the US presidential primary election in Dixville Notch, New Hampshire. Photograph: Faith Ninivaggi/Reuters A dog with an American flag tie walks in the room before the First-in-the-Nation midnight vote for the New Hampshire primary elections in Dixville Notch. Photograph: Sébastien St-Jean/AFP/Getty Images
|
|
|
Post by Webster on Jan 23, 2024 16:20:35 GMT -5
(The Guardian) Haley: this vote is 'not a coronation' for TrumpCampaigning last night, Nikki Haley insisted that today’s vote was “not a coronation” for Donald Trump as the Republican nominee. Interviewed by Leland Vittert, Haley said viewing her performance in New Hampshire as make or break for her campaign had never been fair. She told him: It has never been fair. I said I needed to be strong in Iowa. We started at 2%. We ended at 20%. I need to be stronger in New Hampshire. I think we’ll do that tomorrow. And then I need to be stronger than that in South Carolina.
The one thing we have to remember is Donald Trump only won with one and a half percent of the vote in Iowa, 56,000 people voted for him out of a state of three million people. That is not representative of the country.
And you’ve got the political class saying, ‘Oh, it’s got to be him. No. This is not a coronation. This is an election.
You go state by state. You are trying to get representation of real normal people. And that is what we are focused on. We’re going to take it one step at a time.
|
|
|
Post by Webster on Jan 23, 2024 16:22:10 GMT -5
(The Guardian) Most places in New Hampshire – if they aren’t called Dixville Notch – will open their polls at 7am EST (noon GMT), although a few places will open an hour earlier than that. Most polls will close at 7pm EST (midnight GMT), and the results in the Republican primary will probably get called about an hour after that. There will be 24 names on the Republican ballot paper, which obviously has to be printed well ahead of the election, and so doesn’t take into account the fact that a lot of the candidates have already pulled out of the campaign. The Democrats have 21 names to choose from on their ballots, but not Joe Biden. As (Guardian correspondent) Adam Gabbatt explained: The unusual situation stems from the Democratic national committee’s decision to ditch decades of tradition this year in choosing South Carolina, a much more racially diverse state, to host the first presidential primary. When New Hampshire said it would host its primary first anyway – South Carolina will vote next week – the Democratic National Committee essentially said it would ignore the state’s results. This may, however, end up delaying the results of the vote in New Hampshire. Some Biden supporters have been encouraging voters to write in his name on the ballot, which will complicate the counting.The move hasn’t been universally popular. CBS News reports that yesterday New Hampshire Democratic Sen Maggie Hassan told reporters: The DNC made a terrible decision not to have New Hampshire go first. We care about our country in New Hampshire. We care about democracy in New Hampshire. And we know what the stakes are here. We know Donald Trump is going to be the Republican nominee. And we know the threat that that poses to our democracy.New Hampshire is so wedded to being the first primary in an election campaign that in 1975 the state passed a law requiring its primary date to be set not by the parties themselves, but by the secretary of state. The law also requires the vote to take place seven days or more ahead of any other.
|
|
|
Post by Webster on Jan 23, 2024 16:23:23 GMT -5
(The Guardian) Mike Allen at Axios has this on why some Biden supporters are, perhaps unexpectedly, hoping for a big Donald Trump win in New Hampshire today that knocks Nikki Haley out of the race. He writes: Biden’s backers see New Hampshire as a win-win: either Trump wins huge and a 286-day general election campaign begins tomorrow or Trump gets caught in a drawn-out primary until at least South Carolina’s contest on 24 February.
The president’s campaign has internal data indicating that most of the undecided voters Biden is targeting don’t think Trump will be the Republican nominee. They haven’t tuned in to an election that’s more than nine months away. That leads Biden’s team to believe the dynamics of the campaign will change significantly once those voters realize it really will be a Biden-Trump matchup in November.Allen does point out one trend in recent polling data though that could prove a worry to the president: A USA Today/Suffolk university poll found 44% of Republican primary voters were “very enthusiastic” about Trump. Only 18% of Democratic primary voters said the same about Biden.
|
|
|
Post by Webster on Jan 23, 2024 16:32:46 GMT -5
(The Guardian) Trump widens lead over Haley in New Hampshire pollA tracking poll released this morning shows Donald Trump has widened his lead over Nikki Haley in recent days, following the withdrawal of Ron DeSantis from the GOP race. The poll by NBC News, the Boston Globe and Suffolk University shows Trump at 60% among likely Republican primary voters, compared with Haley at 38%. The results also show that most of likely New Hampshire voters have already made up their minds about who they’re voting for today. More than 89% said they are either “not at all likely” or “not very likely” to change their minds. Dean Phillips isn't backing down from challenging BidenDean Phillips, the long-shot Democratic challenger to Joe Biden, has refused to back down from attacking the president as he vowed to stay in the race “as long as it takes to get a head-to-head matchup with Donald Trump”. The Minnesota Democrat, in an interview with CNN this morning, criticized his party for being “completely delusional”, adding that he has “a conviction that Joe Biden is going to lose”. “I’m trying to shake it up,” Phillips said. - We need to. Donald Trump is going to win. Joe Biden is a fine man, but he’s going to lose.
|
|