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Post by Webster on Jun 5, 2018 23:01:26 GMT -5
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Post by Webster on Jun 5, 2018 23:02:58 GMT -5
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Post by Webster on Jun 5, 2018 23:06:07 GMT -5
(Daily Kos Elections) MT-Sen (R)/MT-AL (D): With close to a third of the precincts reporting (but, with early vote, probably more than half the total vote), we have what amounts to a pair of ties. In the GOP battle to challenge Democratic Sen. Jon Tester, former judge Russell Fagg leads state auditor Matt Rosendale by 130 votes out of 82,000 cast. Meanwhile, in the battle to take on GOP Rep. Greg Gianforte, Democrat Kathleen Williams leads John Heenan by almost the exact same amount: 129 votes.
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Post by Webster on Jun 5, 2018 23:07:09 GMT -5
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Post by Webster on Jun 5, 2018 23:15:19 GMT -5
(Daily Kos) California Board of Equalization Results Thus Far... --So far in the open 1st district (9% reporting) it is a close one between Dem Tom Hallinan and Republican Ted Gaines (38% to 35%). --District 2 with 10.5% reporting has a close one with a possibility of a D on D race with Democrat Malia Cohen at 33%, Republican Mark Burns at 30.6%, and Democrat Cathleen Galgiani at 28.0%. --In District 3 (8% reporting) the 64% of the vote share that is Democratic is very well split, with the leading Democrat Cheryl Turner at 18% --District 4 (also 8% reporting) has a risk of Democrats being shut out, as Republican Joel Anderson has 34% of the vote, and the leading Democrat, Mike Schaefer, has 17%. Republican John F. Kelly is close behind with 16.1%.
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Post by Webster on Jun 5, 2018 23:15:39 GMT -5
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Post by Webster on Jun 5, 2018 23:16:48 GMT -5
(Five Thirty-Eight) It’s past midnight on the East Coast, which means it’s time for weird baseball — no, wait, weird elections. As we wait for California, Montana is also still counting verrrrry slowwwwwly. With 28 percent of precincts in, Rosendale has taken a 32-31 lead over Fagg in the GOP primary for Senate. In the Democratic primary for House, Kathleen Williams is holding on to a 34-32 lead over John Heenan, with Grant Kier back at 25 percent. Heenan was the progressive candidate, Kier was the establishment guy, and Williams was somewhere in the middle.
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Post by Webster on Jun 5, 2018 23:17:26 GMT -5
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Post by Webster on Jun 5, 2018 23:18:16 GMT -5
(Daily Kos) CA-SD14: Only Kern and Fresno are showing results, but I still don’t think Republican incumbent Andy Vidak wants to be below 50 against three Democrats. This Central Valley seat is heavily Latino (it has a lot of overlap with CA-21) and is probably far more Democratic in November than June. If it flips, Democrats would regain supermajority control in the state Senate.
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Post by Webster on Jun 5, 2018 23:19:41 GMT -5
(Daily Kos Elections) CALIFORNIA: We have lots of House races on our menu, so let’s update all the races on our radar…. --CA-04 (19% in): Rep. Tom McClintock (R) 51, Jessica Morse (D) 19, Regina Bateson (D) 14 --CA-10 (38% in): Rep. Jeff Denham (R) 38, Josh Harder (D) 15, Ted Howze (R) 14 --CA-25 (12% in): Rep. Steve Knight (R) 55, Bryan Caforio (D) 20, Katie Hill (D) 18 --CA-39 (2% in): Young Kim (R) 27, Gil Cisneros (D) 16, Phil Liberatore (R) 12 --CA-45 (Early vote in): Rep. Mimi Walters (R) 54, Katie Porter (D) 20, Dave Min (D) 17 --CA-48 (Early vote in): Rep. Dana Rohrabacher (R) 30, Hans Keirstead (D) 19, Scott Baugh (R) 18 --CA-49 (11% in): Diane Harkey (R) 25, Sara Jacobs (D) 15, Doug Applegate (D) 13 --CA-50 (14% in): Rep. Duncan Hunter (R) 48, Ammar Campa-Najjar (D) 15, Josh Butner (D) 14
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Post by Webster on Jun 5, 2018 23:22:08 GMT -5
(Daily Kos Elections) California: Meanwhile, statewide, the Senate race has already locked in one November competitor: Sen. Dianne Feinstein (currently at 43%). Republican James Bradley and Democrat Kevin DeLeon are close to tied at 10%. This is with just 11 percent of precincts reporting, and some very blue counties still not reporting even early votes (San Francisco, Sonoma).
(Daily Kos Elections) CA-Gov: Meanwhile, in the governors race, with the same caveat (no early votes in several blue counties), Democratic Lt. Governor Gavin Newsom leads the field with 33 percent, and Republican (and Trump endorsee) John Cox is in second with 27 percent. Former L.A. Mayor Antonio Villaraigosa is a distant third with 12 percent, meaning that it’s hard to envision a D-vs-D runoff here.
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Post by Webster on Jun 5, 2018 23:22:31 GMT -5
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Post by Webster on Jun 5, 2018 23:23:42 GMT -5
(Daily Kos Elections) CA-Gov: The AP has called the first slot in the November general election for Democratic Lt. Governor Gavin Newsom.
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Post by Webster on Jun 5, 2018 23:24:27 GMT -5
(Five Thirty-Eight) I’m trying to hold off on making any grand California pronouncements. The reason? There are still no votes reporting from San Francisco or Santa Clara (Silicon Valley) counties and relatively few from Los Angeles, which are obviously three pretty big vote banks. That means that current statewide results are skewed toward Republicans.
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Post by Webster on Jun 5, 2018 23:25:27 GMT -5
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